A few thoughts on that poll.
'Power at any cost ( to NZ)' is Luxon's mantra. The problem is that it's also Seymour’s and Winston's mantra 🤣
Roll on Election Day.
Labour All The Way.
Tv1 news had Luxon entertaining the party faithful and one elderly lady gushing she would vote Natiobal because her father always did (how many years ago was that?) In contrast they showed poor Chippy standing in the pouring rain on a wet cold miserable day in Nelson. What manipulation of a news story.
Thanks for this Nick.
Also the undecideds: we have no idea what that number is.
The undecideds could decide the election - the "swing voters"...
Last I heard it was around 12-15%...
But of course that would wreck Jenna's line
Needed that! Thanks Nick
An Excellent piece, thank you Nick.
Perfect timing, thanks Nick. I really needed this today!
Great stuff, I am unable to share on F/B I get a message....."Your message couldn't be sent because it includes content that other people on Facebook have reported as abusive" I would think this censorship should be of some concern to you.
Jenna Lynch Well named. Our Left Coalition will be stable and far more in tune.
Polls schmolls. Ignore them. All the other parties have been campaigning (otherwise known as telling lies and slagging off the government) for months, while Labour has been busy running the country. They now have to tell their story well over the next few weeks, and excel in the debates, both of which I believe they have the capacity to achieve. I will believe in the possibilities until the only poll that matters is counted.
Thanks Nick you have helped me regain some optimism today after watching that debacle last night including the usual biased reporting.
Nick don’t be downhearted! You are helping us to be hopeful!!
That's cheered me up. Thanks for the mahi.
Love it! Thankyou very much!
The last 4 Elections in the US, going back to Gore / Bush in 2000 have been primarily Media Driven Rort's that showed the Polls completely wrong in their assumptions of the results on the Day after the Elections.
It's not JUST the Polls that didn't reflect the will of the Voting Public in their time sensitive snapshots. The Media Bosses were all standing around with their hands out for Donors & PAC Dollars, just waiting to pin Tails on the Poorest Donkey's in the Races that didn't have the War Chest of Election Dollars to spend.
It was a race between Political Donors, Big Oil, Big Business & Key People in Media Editors Seats that screwed those scrums to their Chums with the Biggest War Chest to hand em for their Dirt dished out on the Lesser Wealthy Players that were a threat to the Oligarch Class, should they sneak in under the Wires, kinda like Jacinda did after coming out of nowheresville to save the day for the Underwhelming Left that had already spit the Dummy of Defeat to the Right & were about ready to sing Good Night Irene until somebody in Caucus said "hey, what if we had a Populist type of Talking Head"that could string a sentence together & appealed to Women & those wishing they were about then. NAtional couldn't get out of Government Fast enough after their last debacle in government that started all the Balls rolling down hill at us.
We haven't recovered from anything since then, although we've faced some extraordinary events having nothing to do with Politics, or Democratic Governance. Most of our Stumbling Blocks have come from Left Field to smack us all right between the Eyes!
Yup, we had to stop in our tracks & shut everything except the most essential things down while we all hunkered down & watched everybody to the Right of a Ghengus Khan Centrist's Spit their Dummies left right & Centre about how unfair it all was for them, losing their Shirts while the Worker Bee's were locked away from handing them the profits of their Labour in return for well, nothing really. They were just pissed off that the Gravy Train had stopped.
Even handing them Barrows of Cash to help em survive wasn't enough - they wanted more, more & MORE & didn't give a Tinkers Damn about sharing anything with anybody else, especially those ungrateful slave Wage Earners they carried on their Payrolls they couldn't shift fast enough to Foreigners that can't vote, or say anything about their working conditions under such Feudal Employment Contracts with 90 day Hand Grenadades thrown in for good measure to keep them inline with Nationals old / new Labor Laws.
My goodness, you could have heard the Moaning from Outer Space a couple Planetary Systems away when the Lockdowns came about!
Polls, especially these ZB / Newshub types are designed with a purpose in mind. The purpose boils down to how much Money a little bit of Negative influence can make on an already Supercharged Electorate. Money makes Media World go round - & don't you forget that for a second!
Nobody has managed to put their "Hair Fires" out after Covid was declared irrelevant, so get back to work quick, or be replaced by a slightly more, or less Meritocratic Soul from Some place Else that really wants to be here because it means their families will eat for the next little while & that's what its all about to our Migrant Workforce.
I think you're right in suggesting a bit of Patience at this point Nick. Reaction is exactly what we don't need right now to these Dismal Poll outcomes within a month from the Election to keep our Hair Fires burning bright..
I know I'm tired of this whole Global Mess & need a Rip Van - style Nap!! The sad part of all this nasty news is there are a whole lotta folks of voting age that don't have a Clue whats gonna happen if Luxon & Seymour combine to lead the Country. They aren't really smart enough to get outa their own way, let alone Deep Think" about what their future is gonna look like with a full blown Authoritarian Government with a Brown Shirt Libertarian Partner holding their feet to the fires of Austerity for their Me, Me, Me thing that feels it has to Cancel everything until they get the biggest & best Lollies in the scramble. They can't help that they were fed a Diet of STEM Education & found out it was just glorified BS way to late!
Might be a good time to sit back & take a few quick Breath's to charge up those brain cells so they start working in your favour instead of against it.
Now if $10 bucks a Fortnight will float you and your families Boat more than a $285.00 per week direct deposit straight into your Bank account, one for you, one for the partner, & one each for your Kids with the Greens Policy of Balancing our gross inequalities, why not consider that?
Now, this isn't a personality contest, so just consider the promises & how they will impact you as this Recession we're in deepens into a Depression just before Christmas 2023 comes along, post election you can pull out your "Told Ya So" sheet & flap it your neighbours, Dad's, Mum's, Cousin & Uncle Bob's Face before you kick em in the nuts & walk away from em in disgust at how shallow they were.
At least you'll have a momento prepared for the next time you have to go through this routine to make decisions about CRITICAL ISSUES that effect every Man, Woman, Child, Dog , Cat, or Rat in the Country.
If by some miracle your Horse comes through in the 3 yr Race, Whoopie!!! If not then wad up the sheet of Paper you did your Strategic Analysis on & push it into the Cracks in your Rental Floor, or Walls, or, Leaky Roof, or make copies to send out as Told ya So, Christmas Cards to your enemies.
It ain't over till it's over folks! Don't put those pencils down until you use em on Election Day to vote for what works for you.
If nothin works for you, pick whoever came closest to Maintaining a Democratic form of Governance & give em your Ticks (without West Nile Disease, of course!)
The Key is showing up and being counted!!! If you don't show, you can't complain, or even protest because you have to Tattoo an "L" on your forehead for everyone to see who let them down if in the slim chance that The Greedy Bunch take over you'll still have a Social Leg to stand on if you showed up...
The Fat Lady is itching to Sing us to sleep right now & if she takes the Stage it won't matter a bit either way what happens after that. The Barricades you could have put up had you bothered to get involved before she started Gargling in the Orchestra Pit, might have made a difference.
Don't let yourself get to that point - ok?
Maybe you're Angry with Labour for not doing more than they did, I dunno, but if you let your Anger control your Logic at this critical time, then you're the one letting the side down and have no one else to blame. We tend to be a judgemental & horribly vindictive Lot!
At the very least, consider what you would have done in the same position in Retrospect, if you were forced into making decisions as Labour have been these past 4 out of 6 years. You might then be able to sympathise with how difficult it was to get things right...
I'd like to see MMP come back with Coalitions working together in Ernest to create a Better Future for all of us, but not a Coalition of Greed & Authoritarian Market Capitalism!!! Why do we need opposition Parties anyway??? Why not all work together in a common cause!?
There's just gotta be a Middle Ground somewhere that we can all meet in peace & discuss differences that work for everybody... Keep your Powder Dry! Kia Kaha folks!
Thanks Nick, Some days you are my sanity, Cheers