unless somrthing miraculous happens, like luxon developing a likeable persona - the natcoids are stuck in a very grim space. realistically the 6 below luxon will not be able to charm the electorate any better than he can.
The main reason for generally trusting the polls is that the pollsters' repeat business surely depends on their credibility. Back in 2019, pollsters generally has Australian Labor winning the Federal Election, but Morrison's Liberals / Nats got back in. Polling companies then took a dive in public trust.
That is a good point. The less accurate they are the less they will gain business. Still there will always be the odd rogue result where people choose to do something different in the ballot box.
unless somrthing miraculous happens, like luxon developing a likeable persona - the natcoids are stuck in a very grim space. realistically the 6 below luxon will not be able to charm the electorate any better than he can.
Good stuff Nick. I also wondered about the Muller syndrome.
It does seem a rather convenient time to disappear out of sight. Still the guy must be under huge mounting pressure.
The main reason for generally trusting the polls is that the pollsters' repeat business surely depends on their credibility. Back in 2019, pollsters generally has Australian Labor winning the Federal Election, but Morrison's Liberals / Nats got back in. Polling companies then took a dive in public trust.
That is a good point. The less accurate they are the less they will gain business. Still there will always be the odd rogue result where people choose to do something different in the ballot box.
Go Labour!!!
Thanks Nick. I get hot under the collar about TV news sponsored polls but you put it all in perspective.
Lux-on definitely got a dose of muller 😆