unless somrthing miraculous happens, like luxon developing a likeable persona - the natcoids are stuck in a very grim space. realistically the 6 below luxon will not be able to charm the electorate any better than he can.
The main reason for generally trusting the polls is that the pollsters' repeat business surely depends on their credibility. Back in 2019, pollsters generally has Australian Labor winning the Federal Election, but Morrison's Liberals / Nats got back in. Polling companies then took a dive in public trust.
Great article Nick. Yes interesting with the rogue result aspect mentioned earlier regards the Aussie election. As an aside I wonder what the overall trend was like back prior to the Aussie election being referred too? As you pointed out the trend with the last 8 polling results have been very close and only once with Nats block ahead and not by much? The wonder is, you would've thought that with all the negative press that this Govt has had to put up with through misinformation, and or blatant lies, and changing PMs in the process that the Right would be in the driving seat as such. As a Labour supporter there are things that I would like to see this Govt do more, especially around a more equitable taxation system and revisiting GST in some way to start with but that doesn't stop me from working and supporting the Party in any way that I can.
Others have said it better then I could that "Fundamentally" Luxon's problem is that he has no political nous and relies heavily on his so called business sense and that can be debated too and that alongside many other faults. I do hope he does recover well from his bout with Covid, As you alluded to Nick, Trump is one you might not consider in that vain the other for me is a certain man of the cloth dressed in Black riding around on a Harley?
unless somrthing miraculous happens, like luxon developing a likeable persona - the natcoids are stuck in a very grim space. realistically the 6 below luxon will not be able to charm the electorate any better than he can.
Good stuff Nick. I also wondered about the Muller syndrome.
The main reason for generally trusting the polls is that the pollsters' repeat business surely depends on their credibility. Back in 2019, pollsters generally has Australian Labor winning the Federal Election, but Morrison's Liberals / Nats got back in. Polling companies then took a dive in public trust.
Go Labour!!!
Great article Nick. Yes interesting with the rogue result aspect mentioned earlier regards the Aussie election. As an aside I wonder what the overall trend was like back prior to the Aussie election being referred too? As you pointed out the trend with the last 8 polling results have been very close and only once with Nats block ahead and not by much? The wonder is, you would've thought that with all the negative press that this Govt has had to put up with through misinformation, and or blatant lies, and changing PMs in the process that the Right would be in the driving seat as such. As a Labour supporter there are things that I would like to see this Govt do more, especially around a more equitable taxation system and revisiting GST in some way to start with but that doesn't stop me from working and supporting the Party in any way that I can.
Others have said it better then I could that "Fundamentally" Luxon's problem is that he has no political nous and relies heavily on his so called business sense and that can be debated too and that alongside many other faults. I do hope he does recover well from his bout with Covid, As you alluded to Nick, Trump is one you might not consider in that vain the other for me is a certain man of the cloth dressed in Black riding around on a Harley?
Thanks Nick. I get hot under the collar about TV news sponsored polls but you put it all in perspective.
Lux-on definitely got a dose of muller 😆